Gold Lot Sports Betting Picks for NFL Week 14

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Brian Torchia - 2021 Overall Record 15-10 (7-6 NCAA, 8-4 NFL)

New Orleans Saints @ New York Jets - Under 43
Sunday @ 1 PM

It's been a long time since I've written up a game total but this one stood out to me.  The Jets have had trouble moving the ball effectively and putting points on the board all year and this matchup doesn't get any easier for them.  Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson looks like exactly that, a rookie.  I fully expect the Saints' stout defense to make life difficult for him and this offense Sunday.

As for the Saints, it looks like quarterback Taysom Hill will once again start at quarterback.  He's dealing with some torn ligaments in his finger and if you watched their game Thursday night, you could tell it was bothering him.  He finished the game with four interceptions and didn't look to be throwing the ball all that well.  As a result, I'm expecting a lot more running plays by them in this game, which means the clock will keep ticking away.  I think this one stays under the total.

San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals - SF Money Line -115
Sunday @ 4:25 PM

The 49ers may be missing breakout running back Elijah Mitchell in this one due to a concussion and knee injury but I'm not letting that deter me.  The 49ers sport an offense that runs the ball efficiently regardless of who is in the backfield.  Also, I'm not putting too much stock in their loss at Seattle last week.

The Bengals are dealing with an injury concern of their own.  Quarterback Joe Burrow suffered a pinky injury in last week's loss to the Los Angeles Chargers and has missed some practices this week as a result.  His injury could greatly affect this offense's capabilities and frankly, I just think the 49ers are the superior team in this one.  The 49ers opened as underdogs but this line has crept to them being favored by a point.  I'm fine with -1 but made things easier by just having them win the game.

Antonio Wolfe - 2021 Overall Record: 20-18 (14-9 NCAA, 6-8 NFL)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Minnesota Vikings - Under 44
Thursday @ 8:20 PM

While I like the Steelers to potentially squeeze a win out here, I do not think it will be due to their offense. I also don't think the Steelers' offense should not be looking to move the ball down field through the air. The trends show that the Steelers win when they hand the ball off to Najee Harris more than 16 times in a ballgame. They should do this against the Vikings' 29th ranked rush defense regardless of the trends. Add this to the Steelers defense coming off a fantastic game against the Baltimore Ravens and I like the Under here.

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Money Line +125
Sunday @ 1 PM

Baltimore is coming off an emotional loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers where head coach John Harbaugh elected to go for a two-point conversion instead of kicking the extra point to tie the game in the final seconds. Who knows the outcome if they instead opt for the extra point and send the game into overtime.

A week prior to this loss, the Ravens beat the Browns 16-10, albeit at home. However, the Ravens won this game even with quarterback Lamar Jackson throwing four interceptions. He won't throw four picks this time against the Browns because Harbaugh won't let him. The Ravens have the Browns offense figured out, and a more conservative offensive game plan will lead the Ravens to victory in this one.

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Football Team - WFT Money Line +170
Sunday @ 1 PM

I'm riding the Washington Football Team's four-game winning streak, especially at home. The Football Team's fans have had little to celebrate the last decade or so, and I believe they will come out for this 1 o'clock divisional rivalry game and make a difference. That crowd noise will be all the defense needs to shut down the Cowboys offense like they did against MVP-favorite Tom Brady and high flying Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense at home a few weeks ago. I think the Football Team wins this one outright at home and extends their streak to five.

Detroit Lions @ Denver Broncos - Detroit +8.5
Sunday @ 4:05 PM

I do not think the Lions will win this game and I am not putting stock in their win against the Vikings last week. But this isn't a moneyline pick. This is a spread pick and the Lions have covered 8 of 12 games this season because they always keep it close. No team has more heart-breaking losses than the Lions, and when they are more than a touchdown underdog, I like to take them. Good teams win, great teams cover, and the Lions will cover in this one.

Cody Flavell - 2021 Overall Record: 2-2 (2-0 NCAA, 0-2 NFL)

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Minnesota Vikings - Steelers +3
Thursday @ 8:20 PM

I hate betting teams off of emotional victories. However, the Steelers beating Baltimore was a massive win that they didn’t really have a ton of time to savor. I like the Steelers to cover Thursday solely because they’re coming off of a massive win and the Vikings are coming off a massive let down. There was little preparation on both teams’ part for this game. Big Ben has always been good against the Vikings and on short weeks. I’ll back him and the Steelers +3.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans - Jaguars +8.5
Sunday @ 1 PM

I must be out of my mind right? The head coach doesn’t even know which running back is his true starter and his own quarterback kind of called him out on it. But if I know one thing about the Titans this year, it’s that when they play the bottom feeders of the NFL, they look the part themselves. Never mind they’ve beaten some of the NFL’s best teams this season and that they’re coming off of a bye. This is an emotion-driven team and I could absolutely see a let down coming. Maybe they don’t lose the game but they more than likely will win a close contest. Feed me the Jags +8.5 for a double dog weekend.